Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.069436 0.076889 0.085062 0.094736 0.105932 0.118553 0.133954
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 0.058371 0.068492 0.080502 0.095993 0.115719 0.140388 0.174208
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.050872 0.062407 0.076967 0.097102 0.124906 0.163030 0.221313
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.044947 0.057080 0.073158 0.096694 0.131487 0.183210 0.270644
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.040950 0.053556 0.070977 0.097792 0.139975 0.207653 0.334019
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.037804 0.050700 0.069180 0.098915 0.148405 0.233701 0.409327
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.035164 0.048194 0.067468 0.099729 0.156260 0.260490 0.496810
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.032737 0.045707 0.065420 0.099576 0.162248 0.285201 0.591053
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.030426 0.043147 0.062932 0.098248 0.165717 0.305699 0.685574
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.029070 0.041921 0.062415 0.100215 0.175778 0.343007 0.847025
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.027233 0.039764 0.060124 0.098618 0.178302 0.363880 0.973824
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.026042 0.038546 0.059284 0.099589 0.186389 0.400877 1.183970
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.024657 0.036924 0.057633 0.098863 0.190828 0.430665 1.398639
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.023709 0.035963 0.057059 0.100211 0.200392 0.478664 1.749260
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.022819 0.035031 0.056447 0.101394 0.209865 0.530716 2.199509
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.021796 0.033793 0.055156 0.100964 0.215217 0.572217 2.666240
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.021059 0.033004 0.054633 0.102129 0.225070 0.634340 3.416634
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.020381 0.032272 0.054152 0.103319 0.235322 0.703908 4.443110
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.019718 0.031520 0.053563 0.104183 0.244903 0.776926 5.805283
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.018996 0.030615 0.052593 0.104021 0.251435 0.841396 7.414584
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.018204 0.029530 0.051178 0.102613 0.253824 0.888766 9.098987
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.017802 0.029153 0.051178 0.104698 0.268070 1.006391 13.244490
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.017079 0.028125 0.049750 0.103005 0.269295 1.055767 16.479956